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Counterfactuals and Policy Interventions
A synthetic control-derived counterfactual of Ecuador’s predicted GDP in the absence of the 1973 oil price shock. Liou and Musgrave, 2014 (not published (yet) ). A pressing question in policy analysis...
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Additional Notes on Undergraduate Success
Literally a generic, rights-free stock photo of “success”. Your success may look different. Some additional notes on undergraduate success prepared in advance of a reprise of meeting with UMASS...
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UN Sanctions Against North Korea, 2017: A Rough Guide
The font of all knowledge has a quick guide to current UNSC resolutions sanctioning the DPRK. August 2017: Resolution 2371 (2017) Passed in response to July 2017 DPRK ICBM tests. Included: ban on coal...
View ArticleIs “America First” A Slogan With An Anti-Semitic Past? (Yes)
A reader writes: I read your opinion piece in the Chicago Tribune entitled “Trump has no secret agenda – WYSIWYG” I did not understand one sentence of the piece, “So does his proud assumption of the...
View ArticleSyllabus for Spring 2018 American Foreign Policy
I’m pleased to share my foreign policy syllabus. USFP 2018 01 Spring Syllabus 2018 01 19 Web by Paul Musgrave on Scribd
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Today in Yak-Shaving
(What is “yak shaving“?) I needed to add plots to a final draft of an article that my co-author had just finished revising. Most of the plots were pre-made but two of them were new–just minor changes...
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Star Trek: TOS (Terms of Service)
Recently, we activated an Amazon Echo. My attitude toward smart speakers can be divided into two eras: Before Echo: Why would anyone want a privacy-destroying box in their home? Why should Jeff Bezos...
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Representation and Symbolism in International Relations (or Vlad the Film...
We shouldn’t become so inured to the routines of great-power press conferences that we dismiss what seem like trivial or pointless throwaways. For instance, during a press availability at last...
View ArticleThoughts on Teaching at the End of the World
This past semester, I worked with 23 Honors students at UMASS Amherst on a course modestly entitled “The Politics of the End of the World.” In that course, students explored different ways in which...
View ArticleThe Sixth Risk is Boredom
Every chapter of Michael Lewis’s The Sixth Risk, as it sounds to somebody who had heard of the federal government before November 2016. John “Curley” Stooge was an unprepossessing man–White,...
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